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sMurph

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Predict any regionals where you think the top seed will not advance to Supers. 

I say Mississippi State over Arizona, and Baylor over Texas A&M
Devin22

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Reply with quote  #2 
I am going out on a limb....[smile]

1. Northwestern over Georgia
2. Minnesota over Washington 
3. Notre Dame over Michigan



MOJOERASER

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Reply with quote  #3 
Arkansas going down
3leftturns

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Reply with quote  #4 
Lexington regional main pitchers
1. Kentucky: freshman
2. Michigan: freshman
3. Notre Dame: freshman
4. UIC: sophomore
all4AU

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Reply with quote  #5 
I’m not saying Mississippi State will upset Arizona, but it wouldn’t surprise me. It’s probably good that Holly Ward is a drop ball pitcher in that desert air.
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LSUsoftballfan

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Reply with quote  #6 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sMurph

Predict any regionals where you think the top seed will not advance to Supers. 

I say Mississippi State over Arizona, and Baylor over Texas A&M


If Martin and Carlson can get their act together in the circle, Auburn is plenty good enough to win at Florida State.

I may be biased because I would love to see that happen since that opens the door for LSU to host a super, but I really believe it (I think...)

All I know is that LSU went to FSU and won a tough, highly contested super regional last year and I don't necessarily think it was because LSU was the better team. I think the fact that LSU went through the wars of 8 SEC weekends while FSU was playing tiddly winks with the ACC had a lot to do with it.
john3298

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Reply with quote  #7 
Regionals where I see potential upsets:
Michigan over Kentucky
Minnesota over Washington
Northwestern/Cal (whoever wins that first game) over Georgia
OSU/Wichita St over Arkansas
Baylor over Texas A&M
JMU over Tennessee 

Regionals where I actually think they're going to happen:
Michigan over Kentucky
Minnesota over Washinton
Either Baylor over Texas A&M or JMU over Tennessee, not both 
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #8 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Devin22
I am going out on a limb....[smile]

1. Northwestern over Georgia
2. Minnesota over Washington 
3. Notre Dame over Michigan






Washington is 43-0 against all teams not named Oregon, UCLA, or Arizona St. That includes 19-0 vs teams ranked 12 thru 50. They rarely even had 1 run wins. I don't see any reason to think they will all of a sudden lose to a team with 15 losses, much less lose to them twice. 
LSUsoftballfan

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Reply with quote  #9 
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3298
Regionals where I see potential upsets:
Michigan over Kentucky
Minnesota over Washington
Northwestern/Cal (whoever wins that first game) over Georgia
OSU/Wichita St over Arkansas
Baylor over Texas A&M
JMU over Tennessee 

Regionals where I actually think they're going to happen:
Michigan over Kentucky
Minnesota over Washinton
Either Baylor over Texas A&M or JMU over Tennessee, not both 


I'm always leery of the "new kid on the block" hosting a regional for the 1st time. 2 years ago Arkansas won 1 game in the SEC, now they are hosting a regional. That is remarkable. How can they handle the new pressure of being the favorite instead of the underdog?

It's not as easy as it looks, but Ole Miss shot holes in my hypothesis last year by sweeping their regional. But at first glance, Arkansas looked to have the toughest regional to me. I think they will have a hard time winning it, but I'll be rooting for them. Their coach and staff seem to be a classy group who is doing it the right way.
PBLC20

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Reply with quote  #10 
Ohio over JMU and maybe Tennessee.
LSU maybe going down to one of the other three.
smcouvillion

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Reply with quote  #11 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sMurph



Washington is 43-0 against all teams not named Oregon, UCLA, or Arizona St. That includes 19-0 vs teams ranked 12 thru 50. They rarely even had 1 run wins. I don't see any reason to think they will all of a sudden lose to a team with 15 losses, much less lose to them twice. 


Their ace Alvelo may not be healthy and Gabbie Plain isn't great on off days, combine her with inexperienced pitching by Samantha Manti and Kristin Cochran, they have the potential to be upset, plus their offense hasn't put up the runs they are used to seeing lately.
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #12 


Their ace Alvelo may not be healthy and Gabbie Plain isn't great on off days, combine her with inexperienced pitching by Samantha Manti and Kristin Cochran, they have the potential to be upset, plus their offense hasn't put up the runs they are used to seeing lately.[/QUOTE



Yep, I've heard the talking points. But it remains a fact that only Oregon, UCLA and Ariz State beat them. There are no teams of that caliber in the Wash regional. So if they lose that will be something new. If they lose twice ... nah
john3298

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Reply with quote  #13 
Quote:
Originally Posted by smcouvillion


Their ace Alvelo may not be healthy and Gabbie Plain isn't great on off days, combine her with inexperienced pitching by Samantha Manti and Kristin Cochran, they have the potential to be upset, plus their offense hasn't put up the runs they are used to seeing lately.


Plus Minnesota's offense is scary good. Their #8 hitter (Brandt) is literally the only one who can't hurt you. Also, Fiser is a pretty damn good pitcher who will keep them in any game. 
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #14 
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3298


Plus Minnesota's offense is scary good. Their #8 hitter (Brandt) is literally the only one who can't hurt you. Also, Fiser is a pretty damn good pitcher who will keep them in any game. 



Yes, I've heard the talk. Minnesota's offense was even better last year and they came to Tuscaloosa and scored zero vs Osorio in the first game and zero against Osorio again in the 2nd game. 

That is the same Osorio who has faced Washington several times in the last couple years and Wash has won every time. 
olddawg

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Reply with quote  #15 
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3298


Plus Minnesota's offense is scary good. Their #8 hitter (Brandt) is literally the only one who can't hurt you. Also, Fiser is a pretty damn good pitcher who will keep them in any game. 


Minnesota's offense is untested against really tough competition this year, like it was last year until they went to Alabama in the regionals.  Same with Fiser.

They will find out this weekend how good they are.

Then again, the Huskies haven't won a really challenging contest for about 7 or 8 weeks.  If the Gophers do mount a good challenge, will the Huskies remember how to do it?  

Might be interesting.
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #16 
Quote:
Originally Posted by olddawg


Minnesota's offense is untested against really tough competition this year, like it was last year until they went to Alabama in the regionals.  Same with Fiser.

They will find out this weekend how good they are.

Then again, the Huskies haven't won a really challenging contest for about 7 or 8 weeks.  If the Gophers do mount a good challenge, will the Huskies remember how to do it?  

Might be interesting.




I certainly hope all those discussing how Minnesota can beat Wash are correct and I am wrong. That would be Awesome for Bama because we would get to host the Super Regional. Go Gophers!
3leftturns

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Reply with quote  #17 
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3298


Plus Minnesota's offense is scary good. Their #8 hitter (Brandt) is literally the only one who can't hurt you. Also, Fiser is a pretty damn good pitcher who will keep them in any game. 
I saw their offense against Osorio and Alvelo last year, and I thought THAT was the opposite of a vaunted offense.

Then, this year came....

They have played 8 games against teams hosting regionals this week:

The carnage?

29 for 189

.153 batting average... that is the catcher, everyone.....
Devin22

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Reply with quote  #18 
Want to see Carnage? Wait for those angry Beavers to roll over the Tide......
upontop

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Reply with quote  #19 
I think Arkansas will survive, Wichita State hasn’t played well lately and although they beat OSU twice this year it’s hard to beat a team three times. So I think OSU takes that one but I don’t think they have the pitching or hitting (outside of Shippy) to beat Arkansas.
smcouvillion

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Reply with quote  #20 
Quote:
Originally Posted by 3leftturns
I saw their offense against Osorio and Alvelo last year, and I thought THAT was the opposite of a vaunted offense.

Then, this year came....

They have played 8 games against teams hosting regionals this week:

The carnage?

29 for 189

.153 batting average... that is the catcher, everyone.....


Well those games were probably against teams they played in the preseason. They had just gotten a new coach, she was probably teaching then things they haven't learned. They have been on a hot streak lately, their offense is exploding at just the right time.
3leftturns

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Reply with quote  #21 
Oh, please

Now, if Alvelo is out, and they don't have to go against 70 mph, maybe they have a shot
olddawg

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Reply with quote  #22 
Quote:
Originally Posted by smcouvillion


Well those games were probably against teams they played in the preseason. They had just gotten a new coach, she was probably teaching then things they haven't learned. They have been on a hot streak lately, their offense is exploding at just the right time.


Exploding against what kind of pitching?
Montana_Wa

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Reply with quote  #23 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Devin22
Want to see Carnage? Wait for those angry Beavers to roll over the Tide......


Love this!! Beavs with the upset!!
midwestfp

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Reply with quote  #24 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sMurph

I certainly hope all those discussing how Minnesota can beat Wash are correct and I am wrong. That would be Awesome for Bama because we would get to host the Super Regional. Go Gophers!


I have been confused about the process about determining the super regional host and i was hoping you can help clear things up.  In the final "selection RPI," Minnesota was at 23, and Oregon State was at 26.  When those two teams win their regionals, does that mean Minnesota gets to host, or will a coin flip or some other factor determine it?   
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #25 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwestfp


I have been confused about the process about determining the super regional host and i was hoping you can help clear things up.  In the final "selection RPI," Minnesota was at 23, and Oregon State was at 26.  When those two teams win their regionals, does that mean Minnesota gets to host, or will a coin flip or some other factor determine it?   



Ha! That's good. Props. The Committee would select which team got to host the Super Regional. If one of them put in a bid to host and one did not, the one that bid would get the SR. If both bid, the Committee will consider the bids combined with an evaluation of which team is more deserving, and award the SR. If neither bid, the Committee will contact each school to confirm that they want to host, then make the decision.

I have very little doubt that the Committee would select Minnesota. Better record, better RPI, they've hosted before so they would be better prepared to host on short notice. That is how it would work. 

Of course, Bama has not even lost a single game in a regional since 2007. That's 31 consecutive wins. It will end one day. I thought Minnesota would end it last year, and you almost did. But an Oregon State team that is 3-23 vs the top 25?  nope

Go Gophers!
Sec_fan91

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Reply with quote  #26 
Quote:
Originally Posted by MOJOERASER
Arkansas going down


If storms starts against OSU, then yes. If Haff, then no.
Sec_fan91

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Reply with quote  #27 
Quote:
Originally Posted by all4AU
I’m not saying Mississippi State will upset Arizona, but it wouldn’t surprise me. It’s probably good that Holly Ward is a drop ball pitcher in that desert air.


Nickie Blue was a drop ball pitcher, and Arizona destroyed her
all4AU

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Reply with quote  #28 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sec_fan91


Nickie Blue was a drop ball pitcher, and Arizona destroyed her


This is true. I don’t want to be too keen on picking State after their horrible showing in Salt Lake City last year. I feel they have the potential if Arizona is off, but State laying an egg out West wouldn’t be shocking.

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LSUsoftballfan

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Reply with quote  #29 
Quote:
Originally Posted by all4AU
I’m not saying Mississippi State will upset Arizona, but it wouldn’t surprise me. It’s probably good that Holly Ward is a drop ball pitcher in that desert air.


I am not buying Mississippi State. I just don't think they are that good. On any given day....sure. But the odds are against it. They have got to get past North Dakota State, which is no cakewalk.  Their pitcher beat Oklahoma in the regional last year and beat LSU in BR this year.
3leftturns

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Reply with quote  #30 
Janie... what is the latest on Ashleigh Hughes? Is she legitimately out for the season?

Can she even pinch run with a foot-first slide requirement?
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