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Kurosawa

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https://gohuskies.com/feature/SBRegionals19

Friday, May 17

Game One: Seattle U vs Mississippi State, 4:30pm PT - ESPN3

Game Two: Washington vs Fordam, 7pm PT - ESPN3

https://gohuskies.com/news/2019/5/13/softball-washington-ready-for-regionals.aspx

https://hailstate.com/news/2019/5/12/softball-bulldogs-earn-15th-ncaa-tournament-bid-earns-seattle-regional-berth.aspx

http://www.goseattleu.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=18200&ATCLID=211803292

https://fordhamsports.com/news/2019/5/13/softball-seeded-fourth-in-seattle-regional-to-play-3-washington-on-friday.aspx

Devin22

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Reply with quote  #2 
Seattle Regional – May 17-19 at Seattle, Washington

Game 1: Mississippi State vs. Seattle U. | 7:30 p.m. Friday | ESPN3

Game 2: Washington vs. Fordham  | 10 p.m. Friday | ESPN3

Game 3: Game 1 winner vs. Game 2 winner | 6 p.m. Saturday

Game 4 : Game 1 loser vs. Game 2 loser | 8:30 p.m. Saturday
Game 5 : Game 3 loser vs. Game 4 winner | 11 p.m. Saturday
Game 6: Game 3 winner vs. Game 5 winner | 9 p.m. Sunday
Game 7 (if necessary): Game 6 winner vs. Game 6 loser | 11:30 p.m. Sunday
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #3 
I would say if Washington play Mississippi State, have Gabbi walk Mia Davidson every time. 3 home runs last time and she hit all 5 runs in. Or pitch Taryn.

Good thing is Gabbie is pitching much better than the start of the season.
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #4 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lauren
I would say if Washington play Mississippi State, have Gabbi walk Mia Davidson every time. 3 home runs last time and she hit all 5 runs in. Or pitch Taryn.

Good thing is Gabbie is pitching much better than the start of the season.




So you want to give Fa Lelua a chance to hit a 2-run HR every time she comes to the plate? She's one of the top HR hitters in the country also, with 22. 
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #5 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sMurph




So you want to give Fa Lelua a chance to hit a 2-run HR every time she comes to the plate? She's one of the top HR hitters in the country also, with 22. 


She got one hit at four at bats.

Davidson got 3 home runs from 3 at bats.

She sees Plain very well.
Kurosawa

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Reply with quote  #6 
UW pitched to Harper (25 hrs) and Mulipola (21 hrs) at Arizona - don't see why they wouldn't pitch to Davidson in Seattle, despite her getting three dingers off Plain in February.

The player that led the Pac-12 in-conference in home runs: Morganne Flores (11).
Emerald44

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Reply with quote  #7 
Washington is obviously the favorite with their pitching, offense, speed, and D. Beyond WA, it seems like everyone is overlooking SU and just writing Mississippi State vs Washington in the final. These will be almost like home games for SU (until/if they face WA), looks like they have 3 solid pitchers, hitting, speed, and have won 15 of 16.

I know Mississippi St has two hitters with massive power and admit to not knowing much about them after that.  Thoughts on Miss St and SU?
musftblfan

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Reply with quote  #8 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emerald44
Thoughts on Miss St and SU?


Miss State has the ability to score a lot of runs, but their ‘ace’ has almost 140 walks. Washington needs to execute and get base hits, capitalize on free passes, etc. They have big boppers but I know UW will made adjustments.

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cjs4585

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Reply with quote  #9 
The SU pitcher that's seen the most "big-time" action is Carley Nance. She had 11er in 25.1 ip (3.07era) against pac-12/b1g programs including a 0er 5.1ip performance against WA back in March. They have a good lineup with 7 hitters above .300 and 1 above .400 but they play in the WAC. Cathcart and Thompson have 23 hr between them but they are not a huge HR hitting team.

MS ST ace Emily Williams had a 2.29 era in conference this year but has given up 138 walks. She had a rough go against WA at the beginning of the year where she gave up 6 runs (3er) in 2 innings. The other pitcher Grace Fagan had more success against WA (4ip, 1r, 0er) but has a 5.43 era in conference. All together their pitching staff has given up 230 walks on the season compared to 109 for SU and 83 for WA. They have a powerful lineup with the best 5 hitters hitting over .300 and the 3,4,5 hitters having a combined 58hr. All-together they have 69 hr on the season. WA has 40 for comparison. 

I think MS ST pretty handily takes care of SU. Mississippi state has too good of a lineup and SU has been susceptible to the long ball against better opponents. 

I expect to see a MS ST/WA regional final and I expect WA to take it. I'd say the final goes something like 4-1. 
Emerald44

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Reply with quote  #10 
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjs4585
The SU pitcher that's seen the most "big-time" action is Carley Nance. She had 11er in 25.1 ip (3.07era) against pac-12/b1g programs including a 0er 5.1ip performance against WA back in March. They have a good lineup with 7 hitters above .300 and 1 above .400 but they play in the WAC. Cathcart and Thompson have 23 hr between them but they are not a huge HR hitting team.

MS ST ace Emily Williams had a 2.29 era in conference this year but has given up 138 walks. She had a rough go against WA at the beginning of the year where she gave up 6 runs (3er) in 2 innings. The other pitcher Grace Fagan had more success against WA (4ip, 1r, 0er) but has a 5.43 era in conference. All together their pitching staff has given up 230 walks on the season compared to 109 for SU and 83 for WA. They have a powerful lineup with the best 5 hitters hitting over .300 and the 3,4,5 hitters having a combined 58hr. All-together they have 69 hr on the season. WA has 40 for comparison. 

I think MS ST pretty handily takes care of SU. Mississippi state has too good of a lineup and SU has been susceptible to the long ball against better opponents. 

I expect to see a MS ST/WA regional final and I expect WA to take it. I'd say the final goes something like 4-1. 
I will dive a little deeper into the Miss St vs SU matchup in a little bit, but a quick glance doesn't show them that far apart in many categories. The top 3 in the WAC showed they could play with, and beat anyone. First time in the tourney and a home crowd for SU. If SU can play loose, combined with Miss St looking ahead to UW, it equals a recipe for the upset.
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #11 
Of course my internet goes out right as the game starts!

Intresting batting choices from Fordham in the first dig. Minimal swings. Yes Gabbie walked the first batter but standing there and taking three strikes is a choice.
Nedpics

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Reply with quote  #12 
Gabble was pretty good tonight. Dominating at times, despite 2 walks in one inning, and 2 singles in another. I think she had 14k's, but haven't had time to check. It was rather chilly with a wind chill factor as the night got older.

The Fordham pitcher threw slow pitches that the Huskies did not adjust to very well, but it was nice to get the 2 runs from Bates and Flores early. Although we did collect 8 hits, they were scattered. We will need to do better offensively if we want to beat Miss State tomorrow.

It only rained a drop or two at the end of the 7th, and the forecast for tomorrow looks like no rain, at least until late that night. Sunday looks the iffiest for rain. Go Dawgs.
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #13 
Nedpics she did get 14Ks. Matched Danielle Lawries record for most post season Ks in a 7 inning game.

Batting was off. The press conference afterwards Tarr did say she thinks nerves got the better of some of the freshman.

If they start hitting better will be fine. Avelo will clearly start tomorrow. Go break the Ke record!

Will be intresting to see who Mississippi State start with. Williams pitcher the full game today.
softballfan24

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Reply with quote  #14 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lauren
Nedpics she did get 14Ks. Matched Danielle Lawries record for most post season Ks in a 7 inning game.

Batting was off. The press conference afterwards Tarr did say she thinks nerves got the better of some of the freshman.

If they start hitting better will be fine. Avelo will clearly start tomorrow. Go break the Ke record!

Will be intresting to see who Mississippi State start with. Williams pitcher the full game today.


I'm always perplexed by the Pac-12 and their (lack of) offense in the post-season. I haven't done too much research, but, the first games of regionals says something about that. 

For instance:


Non PAC-12:
FSU: 8 runs
Northwestern: 15 runs
Boise State: 8 runs (vs Stanford's 1 run) 
Louisville: 9 runs
Tennessee: 8 runs
Oklahoma State: 13 runs
Tulsa: 10 runs (yes, lost to Ok. State) 
Michigan: 8 runs
Mississippi: 12 runs
Oklahoma: 12 runs

PAC 12: 
Stanford: 1 run (only PAC 12 team to lose in game 1) 
Washington: 2 runs
UCLA: 6 runs
Arizona: 5 runs
ASU: 4 runs

Just an observation

Nedpics

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Reply with quote  #15 
Gearing up to head to the park in a few hours. Weather looking good this afternoon- in the 70's the cotton wood fairies will be out for sure today. One big worry, if the Huskies were to not win the 3:00 pm game, they would play again at 7:00 PM. Even though I live only 3 miles away, I'll be stuck at the ballpark because they don't allow re-entry (NCAA rules). That's a long time at the park, albeit a beautiful setting. Just a mile away from the stadium is the largest street fair in Seattle, with tons of eating options, but I'll be stuck in my seat. Well, not stuck as I'll be watching the SU-Fordham game, but will have to pack for cooler weather and possible rain and most importantly, food.

The solution, of course, is for the Huskies to win, but that's a tough task with Miss State and their power hitters. With Alvelo pitching, her velocity alone could generate deep drives if they connect. We can ameliorate that with more timely hitting of our own.

Laurie is right to say don't pitch to Mia Davidson ( 3 homeruns when they met in February)- but they have other big boppers, too.  Go Dawgs.
Kurosawa

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Reply with quote  #16 
Hopefully UW hitters will warm up. The top of the order went 5 for 11 (.455), while the bottom of the order went 3 for 12 (.250). The bright spot in the bottom of the order was SilentRain, who was 2 for 3 - time to consider moving her up in the order (to #5)?

I think UW pitches to Davidson and Leilua, but carefully - nothing fat down the middle.
Kurosawa

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Reply with quote  #17 
Maybe Miss State should reconsider pitching to Flores...
Montana_Wa

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Reply with quote  #18 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kurosawa
Maybe Miss State should reconsider pitching to Flores...


Nah, go MoFlo, like a boss!
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #19 
Both MoFlos home runs were from balls so they’re trying not to pitch to her!

Who else does Mississippi State have other than Emily Williams? Looking like she’ll pitch two full games today
Nedpics

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Reply with quote  #20 
The thing about Emily Williams that amazes me is that her season statistics sho'sw that she had 138 walks and 138 K's in 140 innings. But neither the Huskies nor the SU batters had the patience to make her throw strikes. The Huskies had only one walk, and often swung by the third pitch. SU just made 3 outs on 3 pitches.

The Huskies did win, so I shouldn't complain. I think they would do so much better if they went to deep counts. Writing this  as the 5th inning starts between SU and Miss St, but I suspect State will prevail, unless Williams' arm does fall off. If she pitches tomorrow against the UW, I hope we realize the potential for walks in a pitcher on her 3rd game, who never had a reputation for throwing strikes.

All in all, a fun day at the park, though. Morganne, in her last at bat, fouling pitches that were balls, determined to not intentionally walk. I think she K'd on a 2-2 count. Alvelo was dominating, making only one big mistake. The other power hitters on Miss ST did nothing.

Weather on Sunday actually looks better as the day goes on- I think the game is at 6:00 PM. Hope there is only one game. Go Dawgs.
musftblfan

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Reply with quote  #21 
What happened to Loza? She pitched solid innings at Az St. and has been limited since she transferred to MSU. Maybe she’s had an injury. Just seems like a good dropballer option, less wild
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smcouvillion

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Reply with quote  #22 
she barely pitched at Arizona State... that's why she transferred. Over her 2 seasons she pitched 48 innings -- and 12 in 2018.
musftblfan

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Reply with quote  #23 
Quote:
Originally Posted by smcouvillion
she barely pitched at Arizona State... that's why she transferred. Over her 2 seasons she pitched 48 innings -- and 12 in 2018.


gotcha, thanks

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KEEP YOUR RELIGION AWAY FROM MY HEALTHCARE
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #24 
If Washington bats weren’t so hot, going deep in the count would be a good idea. But their bats were hot and it worked.

If they struggle tomorrow then they can change their game plan.
Nedpics

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Reply with quote  #25 
Speaking of hot batters, Emma Helm went 3 for 3 with a double yesterday. I am reminded that she was our everyday catcher last year and we made it all the way to the finals in the WCWS. She hasn't had a big role this year, but has clearly taken advantage of her opportunities. She has had a tendency to strikeout, but she makes solid contact, too, and isn't afraid to take a pitch. As the DP, she has been a part of the offense, beating out 3 other candidates towards the end of the season.

Congrats to Seattle U, making their first appearance in the tournament and winning the first game in their history.

Gotta gear up for 2 games today, but hoping for just one. Go Dawgs.
fp_mom

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Reply with quote  #26 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nedpics


Gotta gear up for 2 games today, but hoping for just one. Go Dawgs.


Hate to break it to you, but Mississippi State was eliminated yesterday. Washington plays Seattle tonight:

https://www.ncaa.com/news/softball/article/2019-05-19/2019-ncaa-softball-tournament-bracket-schedule-scores-saturday

Now, if you are referring to Georgia (that is who people who use "Dawgs" usually mean), they have to win three games today to win their region (one vs. Drake and then two vs. Minnesota), not one or two. That will not happen.
mindajane

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Reply with quote  #27 
Quote:
Originally Posted by fp_mom


Hate to break it to you, but Mississippi State was eliminated yesterday. Washington plays Seattle tonight:

https://www.ncaa.com/news/softball/article/2019-05-19/2019-ncaa-softball-tournament-bracket-schedule-scores-saturday

Now, if you are referring to Georgia (that is who people who use "Dawgs" usually mean), they have to win three games today to win their region (one vs. Drake and then two vs. Minnesota), not one or two. That will not happen.


Nope Mississippi State beat Seattle and plays Washington tonight. People often refer to Washington as the Dawgs as well.
smcouvillion

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Reply with quote  #28 
Quote:
Originally Posted by fp_mom


Hate to break it to you, but Mississippi State was eliminated yesterday. Washington plays Seattle tonight:

https://www.ncaa.com/news/softball/article/2019-05-19/2019-ncaa-softball-tournament-bracket-schedule-scores-saturday

Now, if you are referring to Georgia (that is who people who use "Dawgs" usually mean), they have to win three games today to win their region (one vs. Drake and then two vs. Minnesota), not one or two. That will not happen.


lol Mississippi State was not eliminated.
spazsdad

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Reply with quote  #29 
That’s a true connoisseur of the game right there. About right for most of her takes.
fp_mom

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Reply with quote  #30 
The NCAA website above that I linked said Washington plays Seattle tonight. If they were wrong, it is not my fault. I have to go by what they say.
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