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MojoJojo93

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Reply with quote  #1 
Felt it was only fair to have a Pac 12 season thread if the SEC had one. 

Here is the Pac 12 Preseason Poll to start off. 

1. UCLA(5) 61 
2. Washington(4) 60
3. Arizona 50
4. Arizona State 43
T5. California 31
T5. Oregon State 31
7. Utah 19
8. Stanford 17
9. Oregon 12

Opening week results with team ERA and combined scores 

UCLA (5-0)
Team ERA: 1.09 
Score: 39 - 5 

Washington (3-1) 
Team ERA: 1.56
Score: 21-5

Arizona (3-2) 
Team ERA: 2.26
Score: 18-10

Arizona State (4-1) 
Team ERA: 3.39
Score: 51-21

Cal (3-0) 
Team ERA: 0.33
Score: 20-1

Oregon State (5-0) 
Team ERA: 2.20
Score: 30-13

Utah (4-1) 
Team ERA: 2.47
Score: 23-16

Stanford (4-1) 
Team ERA: 2.10
Score: 36-15

Oregon (5-0) 
Team ERA: 3.61
Score: 52-20

Upset: 

Missouri over Arizona State
NC State over Arizona 
Norte Dame over Washinngton
Nedpics

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Reply with quote  #2 
I think Oregon will move up ahead of Utah and Stanford based on the first week. Oregon is a pleasant surprises, but they face much stiffer competition next week.

Arizona, I did not see them play, but they have all the holes they had last year.

UW is off its stride, still looking for timely hitting. The pitching is probably better than expected- Pat Moore actually looked the best out there of the three. Unearned runs came from the freshman errors, not typical of Husky teams, but to be expected this early in the season. UW should be still be #2

Oregon State played well in the games I saw.
cjs4585

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Reply with quote  #3 
Oregon did pretty much what they were supposed to do with the one exception being the 6-1 victory against Missouri which was a better showing than I think most expected. Giving up 19 runs to Kansas, CSUN, Bradley and Seattle (average RPI 137) can't give them too much comfort. Their #2 had a 5.90 ERA against those teams. I think they will be better than Utah, and maybe stanford too, but we'll see how they roll at St. Pete's. 

WA lost a lot of seniors and have some freshmen taking their place. They haven't put together the timely hit (39 LOB in 5 games), and some of the fielding and throwing has taken a hit. TA and especially Plain don't look quite themselves yet although Moore looked better than I thought she would after seeing her in the fall. That said, they still outscored their opponents 29-7 in their first 5 games. Reynolds has been quite a find, although I would have expected more contribution from Huskey and Schiele. I think they'll be fine though and I would still put them at #2 in the pac. 

UCLA, or at least Garcia and Jordan looked awesome. ASU looked like they lost their AA pitcher and didn't quite replace her. If it were me I'd maybe swap Utah and Oregon for now, with the rest being spot on.
nothingheretosee

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Reply with quote  #4 
Nicely put cjs.  Top is status quo.  Bottom is Stanford and Oregon over Utah for now since they all three played very similar schedules.
Today starts the wildcard in my opinion - Cal faces a tough schedule.  They could lose nine of their next ten games.  Will they end up as the Pac 12 fifth best or their eighth best?
CalRoxMySox44

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Reply with quote  #5 
Quote:
Originally Posted by nothingheretosee
Nicely put cjs.  Top is status quo.  Bottom is Stanford and Oregon over Utah for now since they all three played very similar schedules.
Today starts the wildcard in my opinion - Cal faces a tough schedule.  They could lose nine of their next ten games.  Will they end up as the Pac 12 fifth best or their eighth best?


I was pretty surprised to see such a tough OOO schedule with 4 new faces/FR. in the lineup. Dung and Conley will need to be close to perfect in the circle.

With that said, the FR. had some good moments in the first weekend of play. Perez (Firecrackers) threw a 3 hit shutout. Smith (Choppers) will provide some much needed power to the lineup. Amani Bradley will be a fixture at the top of the lineup all 4 years. Good start for them.

https://ragincajuns.com/watch/?Live=951&type=Live ---- For anyone interested, here is a link to the DH today. First game starts at 02:00pm PST.

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BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #6 
PAC 12 PLAYERS OF THE WEEK: https://pac-12.com/article/2019/02/11/pac-12-announces-softball-players-week

Player: Missy Nunes, Oregon State
Pitcher: Rachel Garcia, UCLA
Freshman: Rachel Cid, Oregon



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Kurosawa

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Reply with quote  #7 
Pac-12 OPS (OBP+SLG) Week One:

ASU 1.254
Oregon 1.093
UCLA 1.016
Arizona .932
Stanford .930
OSU .884
Cal .813
UW .773
Utah .715

Pac-12 ERA:

UW 1.03
UCLA 1.09
Cal 1.91
Stanford 2.10
OSU 2.20
Arizona 2.26
Utah 2.47
Oregon 3.61
ASU 3.62
Lauren

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Reply with quote  #8 
The difference in ERA between UCLA/UW and the rest of the PAC is fairly big
nothingheretosee

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Reply with quote  #9 
Good point Lauren.  And UW especially had good competition.

That spread will widen with Cal's competition.  Cal won't end up in the top half of the conference at the end of the year.
Tennhorn

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Reply with quote  #10 
Cal's ERA is taking a beating today.
AleDawg

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Reply with quote  #11 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tennhorn
Cal's ERA is taking a beating today.


Good news: Only 7 earned....

Bad news:...in 5 innings.
BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #12 
I'm predicting

Arizona 3-0 over ASU in Tucson. No run rules.

UCLA 3-0 over Cal in LA. A blowout or two.

Oregon State 2-1 over Washington in Seattle. Beavers are hungry for some quality conference wins.

Stanford 2-1 over Oregon in Palo Alto. Ducks find a way to win one.



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Goober12

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Reply with quote  #13 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSky
I'm predicting

Arizona 3-0 over ASU in Tucson. No run rules.

UCLA 3-0 over Cal in LA. A blowout or two.

Oregon State 2-1 over Washington in Seattle. Beavers are hungry for some quality conference wins.

Stanford 2-1 over Oregon in Palo Alto. Ducks find a way to win one.




I’ve got Oregon sweeping.
And Pac12 related: OU demolishes Utah.

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BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #14 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Goober12


I’ve got Oregon sweeping.
And Pac12 related: OU demolishes Utah.


Yeah, maybe. Ducks' pitchers are gassed and maybe offense will step up for wins. We'll see.

And, yeah. Sooners, a gazillion to zip over the Utes.

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d4cohn

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Reply with quote  #15 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSky


Yeah, maybe. Ducks' pitchers are gassed and maybe offense will step up for wins. We'll see.

And, yeah. Sooners, a gazillion to zip over the Utes.


Yeah, the Duck pitchers not being rested is a bad sign heading into a series against the Cardinal that just dropped 20 runs on a tired Cal staff in two games. (A rainout Monday was likely the only thing that made it a two-game sweep as opposed to a three game sweep, as Stanford was already leading 4-0 in T2 prior to the showers in Berkeley). The Stanford offense is really finding its stride in recent weeks, thanks to great production from #4 and #5 of Montana Dixon and Whitney Burks). 
lovsofbal

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Reply with quote  #16 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn


Yeah, the Duck pitchers not being rested is a bad sign heading into a series against the Cardinal that just dropped 20 runs on a tired Cal staff in two games. (A rainout Monday was likely the only thing that made it a two-game sweep as opposed to a three game sweep, as Stanford was already leading 4-0 in T2 prior to the showers in Berkeley). The Stanford offense is really finding its stride in recent weeks, thanks to great production from #4 and #5 of Montana Dixon and Whitney Burks). 


Why are the pitchers so tired already?
cjs4585

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Reply with quote  #17 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSky
I'm predicting

Arizona 3-0 over ASU in Tucson. No run rules.

UCLA 3-0 over Cal in LA. A blowout or two.

Oregon State 2-1 over Washington in Seattle. Beavers are hungry for some quality conference wins.

Stanford 2-1 over Oregon in Palo Alto. Ducks find a way to win one.




I think ASU steals one. 2-1 AZ.
UCLA 3-0 over Cal.
WA 3-0 over OSU (OSU has gotten pretty beat up against any good team they've played (and some that aren't so good))
Stanford 2-1 over OR. (I had that as my prediction at the beginning of the season and I'll stick with it even though I think OR is slightly worse and Stanford is better then I originally thought).
d4cohn

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Posts: 251
Reply with quote  #18 
Quote:
Originally Posted by lovsofbal


Why are the pitchers so tired already?


Firstly, they only have three pitchers, and secondly, when you cannot record outs as consistently, or give up walks/hits, that means you have to throw more pitches.

In Cal's case, Dung may be hurt, so Conley pitched all 16 innings against Stanford (because Perez wasn't able to record an out, while giving up five runs, in her only start).
lovsofbal

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Reply with quote  #19 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn


Firstly, they only have three pitchers, and secondly, when you cannot record outs as consistently, or give up walks/hits, that means you have to throw more pitches.


I'm sorry it's barely halfway through the season. that's laughable.
d4cohn

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Reply with quote  #20 
Quote:
Originally Posted by lovsofbal


I'm sorry it's barely halfway through the season. that's laughable.


I am a Stanford fan rather than a Duck fan, but that is just what I have heard from Duck fans regarding Dail in her recent starts on this board.
lovsofbal

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Reply with quote  #21 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn


I am a Stanford fan rather than a Duck fan, but that is just what I have heard from Duck fans regarding Dail in her recent starts on this board.


From what I read it's not just Dail. it's also the Cal Pitchers. sounds like some conditioning issues.
Emmadream

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Reply with quote  #22 
Quote:
Originally Posted by lovsofbal


From what I read it's not just Dail. it's also the Cal Pitchers. sounds like some conditioning issues.


To be clear, the Oregon staff is struggling but it’s not due to fatigue across the board.

Their ace may be tiring. She’s pitched a ton of innings because their #2 has been struggling and injured and their #3 is a walk on.
smcouvillion

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Posts: 921
Reply with quote  #23 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emmadream


To be clear, the Oregon staff is struggling but it’s not due to fatigue across the board.

Their ace may be tiring. She’s pitched a ton of innings because their #2 has been struggling and injured and their #3 is a walk on.


Next year they are getting #31 Kleithermes, so hopefully Dail won't have to pitch 95% of the innings. I hope MacGrandle develops, if she could better her control she could really be a great pitcher.
Emmadream

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Reply with quote  #24 
Quote:
Originally Posted by smcouvillion


Next year they are getting #31 Kleithermes, so hopefully Dail won't have to pitch 95% of the innings. I hope MacGrandle develops, if she could better her control she could really be a great pitcher.


Yeah I’m rooting for McGrandle too. I just hope this season doesn’t destroy her confidence. It’s hard to be shoved into the spotlight when you’re struggling and not have a lot of options behind you.
BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #25 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emmadream


To be clear, the Oregon staff is struggling but it’s not due to fatigue across the board.

Their ace may be tiring. She’s pitched a ton of innings because their #2 has been struggling and injured and their #3 is a walk on.


Exactly, not much depth.

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BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #26 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSky
I'm predicting

Arizona 3-0 over ASU in Tucson. No run rules.

UCLA 3-0 over Cal in LA. A blowout or two.

Oregon State 2-1 over Washington in Seattle. Beavers are hungry for some quality conference wins.

Stanford 2-1 over Oregon in Palo Alto. Ducks find a way to win one.




Ok, my bad. At least one run rule. Az beats ASU 8-0 after 5.

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BlueSky

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Reply with quote  #27 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lauren
The difference in ERA between UCLA/UW and the rest of the PAC is fairly big


Today, not so much.

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Kurosawa

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Reply with quote  #28 
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueSky
Oregon State 2-1 over Washington in Seattle. Beavers are hungry for some quality conference wins.


UW 5 OSU 2 in game one. Both teams with 7 hits, but Beavers with an error (which gave up a run) and 6 LOB.

Flores with her 10th HR. Last six games: 9-15 (.600), 11rbi, 6hr.

Both of OSU's runs on solo HRs (by Nunes and Shafer).

UW 5 OSU 0 in game two.
d4cohn

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Reply with quote  #29 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emmadream


Yeah I’m rooting for McGrandle too. I just hope this season doesn’t destroy her confidence. It’s hard to be shoved into the spotlight when you’re struggling and not have a lot of options behind you.


Well, yesterday's appearance for MacGrandle didn't go very well. She faced only five batters (retiring only one, who still plated a run on a fielder's choice). She walked two batters, and hit another batter with the bases loaded in the helmet (which was a rather scary moment for all; thankfully, our player was ok). I feel bad for MacGrandle (even though as a Stanford fan, we needed the game); the offenses in Pac this year are really good, which further adds to the difficulty of recording outs against this level of competition. I also realize how little depth Oregon has, so she has to pitch. But ideally, she would be redshirting this year/not pitching against Pac-12 competition, because her control was far from the level necessary to compete against these lineups.
smcouvillion

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Reply with quote  #30 
Really proud of MacGrandle. She is such a good pitcher, and she showed that today. She got the control she needed and she held Stanford to only 2 runs through 6.2 innings.
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