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LCAOS

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Posts: 138
Reply with quote  #1 
Dilemma is definitely those last few host spots as of now, I think today the last 3 spots come down to James Madison, Oklahoma State, Northwestern, South Carolina, and Kentucky. Of that group South Carolina and Kentucky have the lowest RPI's so I left them out. 

#1 OKLAHOMA/Big 12 vs. BRYANT/NEC
Tulsa vs. Notre Dame
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#16 NORTHWESTERN/Big Ten vs. MIAMI (OH)/MAC
Kentucky vs. Louisville
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#8 ARIZONA/Pac-12 vs. HAWAII/Big West
Georgia vs. GRAND CANYON/WAC
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#9 Tennessee vs. SAMFORD/Southern
VIRGINIA TECH/ACC vs. LIBERTY/ASUN
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#4 Washington vs. WEBER STATE/Big Sky
Boise State vs. Missouri
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#13 Auburn vs. UMASS LOWELL/America East
Texas Tech vs. Ohio State
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#5 LSU vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN/SWAC
Arizona State vs. Houston
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#12 Ole Miss vs. NICHOLLS STATE/Southland
LOUISIANA/Sun Belt vs. Illinois
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#6 Florida vs. FLORIDA A&M/MEAC
SOUTH FLORIDA/AAC vs. North Carolina
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#11 Minnesota vs. YOUNGSTOWN STATE/Horizon
DRAKE/MVC vs. NORTH DAKOTA STATE/Summit
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#3 Florida State vs. MONMOUTH/MAAC
Mississippi State vs. Indiana
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#14 JAMES MADISON/CAA vs. BUCKNELL/Patriot
South Carolina vs. LONGWOOD/Big South
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#7 Texas vs. MASSACHUSETTS/Atlantic 10
Stanford vs. Texas A&M
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#10 ALABAMA/SEC vs. MURRAY STATE/OVC
Michigan vs. LOUISIANA TECH/CUSA
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#15 Oklahoma State vs. ST. JOHN'S/Big East
Arkansas vs. BYU/WCC
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#2 UCLA vs. COLUMBIA/Ivy
COLORADO STATE/MWC vs. Wisconsin

Last 4 In: Texas A&M, Illinois, Houston, Ohio State

First 4 Out: UNLV, Oregon State, UCF, Lipscomb

Next 4 Out: San Jose State, Iowa State, Southern Illinois, Missouri State

Moving In This Week: BYU, Louisiana Tech, Samford, Columbia, Monmouth, Youngstown State, Miami (OH), Houston, North Carolina

Moving Out This Week: San Diego, UNLV, North Texas, Mercer, UCF, Penn, Marist, IUPUI, Kent State
NickSports

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Posts: 359
Reply with quote  #2 
I would love to see the Snow sisters come to UW for a Super!
cuddlefuddle

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Posts: 352
Reply with quote  #3 
I like the match ups in this.
ucferic

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Reply with quote  #4 
https://fastpitchnews.com/college-softball-news/fpn-softball-bracketology-3-0/358774
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #5 
In a game with regional host implications (in case of UK) and #2 regional seed implications (in case of UL), the Battle of the Blue Grass has been a wild softball game, full of momentum swings and runs scored.

Louisville leads at home over UK 7-5 in the bottom of the fifth.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #6 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn
In a game with regional host implications (in case of UK) and #2 regional seed implications (in case of UL), the Battle of the Blue Grass has been a wild softball game, full of momentum swings and runs scored.

Louisville leads at home over UK 7-5 in the bottom of the fifth.


Kentucky has tied the game with two in top of 7th. Wow.
cjs4585

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Posts: 1,185
Reply with quote  #7 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn
In a game with regional host implications (in case of UK) and #2 regional seed implications (in case of UL), the Battle of the Blue Grass has been a wild softball game, full of momentum swings and runs scored.

Louisville leads at home over UK 7-5 in the bottom of the fifth.


That's been a fun game so far. KY ties it up in the top of the 7th.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #8 
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjs4585


That's been a fun game so far. KY ties it up in the top of the 7th.


And UL walks it off in B7 8-7. UK's regional host hopes take a dent, as they now have already 18 losses on the season, with Auburn, at Alabama and at Texas Tech still remaining.
cjs4585

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Posts: 1,185
Reply with quote  #9 
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjs4585


That's been a fun game so far. KY ties it up in the top of the 7th.


And Louisville walks it off 8-7 bottom of 7.
Emerald44

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Posts: 141
Reply with quote  #10 
Some of these projected conference champions will be fed to the lions with RPI's in the 160 range. I understand the auto bids but wouldn't it be fun to also just put the top 64 RPI teams in? At least you would have a chance at some upsets!
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #11 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emerald44
Some of these projected conference champions will be fed to the lions with RPI's in the 160 range. I understand the auto bids but wouldn't it be fun to also just put the top 64 RPI teams in? At least you would have a chance at some upsets!


I think there are plenty of projected #3 regional seeds with auto bids (Grand Canyon, Louisiana Tech, Longwood, Liberty etc.) that are capable/have already pulled significant upsets this year. 

I think it is important that every conference have representation, but I am confident the tournament won't be lacking for upsets either.
Backstop13

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Posts: 46
Reply with quote  #12 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Emerald44
Some of these projected conference champions will be fed to the lions with RPI's in the 160 range. I understand the auto bids but wouldn't it be fun to also just put the top 64 RPI teams in? At least you would have a chance at some upsets!


You mean upsets like this?

174   Furman   5
40     Indiana   1
Emerald44

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Posts: 141
Reply with quote  #13 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn


I think there are plenty of projected #3 regional seeds with auto bids (Grand Canyon, Louisiana Tech, Longwood, Liberty etc.) that are capable/have already pulled significant upsets this year. 

I think it is important that every conference have representation, but I am confident the tournament won't be lacking for upsets either.
True. Those 4 teams you listed are right around or in the top 64 already. There are conferences whose best team and most likely winner will be in the 160's.
Emerald44

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Posts: 141
Reply with quote  #14 
GCU 62, Louisiana Tech 63, Longwood 57, Liberty 48. They would all be in as they are top 64 and I agree those teams can upset. Monmouth 164, Bucknell 160, UMass 138, not so much. In basketball you can at least have a game plan or style of play that can create upsets, much more difficult to do on the diamond.
d4cohn

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Reply with quote  #15 
In the battle of two bubble teams, Missouri takes Game #1 over A&M at home 4-3.
cjs4585

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Reply with quote  #16 
Texas Tech's hosting aspirations take a hit with a 6-4 loss to rpi #147 Kansas.
RahOKU

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Posts: 1,910
Reply with quote  #17 
Quote:
Originally Posted by cjs4585
Texas Tech's hosting aspirations take a hit with a 6-4 loss to rpi #147 Kansas.


Yikes, how'd that happen? KU didn't show very much last weekend vs. OU.
34sDad

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Posts: 260
Reply with quote  #18 
In KU's defense, a lot of teams don't show much against OU.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #19 
Quote:
Originally Posted by d4cohn
In the battle of two bubble teams, Missouri takes Game #1 over A&M at home 4-3.


Mizzou is rolling toward a home series win over A&M. Up 8-0 in the B3 over the Aggies.
midwestfp

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Posts: 1,203
Reply with quote  #20 
RPI be damned.  After this weekend, Alabama has to be the highest seeded team in the SEC.  
jayrot

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Posts: 18,111
Reply with quote  #21 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwestfp
RPI be damned.  After this weekend, Alabama has to be the highest seeded team in the SEC.  


Not yet. Two series left. And that last one will be a big one.
Goober12

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Posts: 133
Reply with quote  #22 
Quote:
Originally Posted by jayrot


Not yet. Two series left. And that last one will be a big one.


That and...... Florida isn’t great this year.

__________________
[smile]
midwestfp

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Posts: 1,203
Reply with quote  #23 
Quote:
Originally Posted by jayrot


Not yet. Two series left. And that last one will be a big one.


I didn't mean to suggest that they locked up the highest seed for any SEC team.  I just meant that when LCAOS does his bracketology on Monday, AL should be the highest seeded SEC team at that time.  Definitely not the 4th.  
3leftturns

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Reply with quote  #24 
No doubt. Bama put down the marker, winning a series in Gainesville.
sMurph

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Reply with quote  #25 

There are some things regarding NCAA Selections and Seeds which are almost always the case, and therefore very predictable. Here is one: 

For at least 10 consecutive seasons, the SEC regular season champion has been the highest seeded SEC team in the bracket, and the Pac-12 regular season champion has been the highest seeded Pac-12 team in the bracket. 

Some years that doesn't mean much because it was a no-brainer. But a couple other times it appears to have carried lots of weight. In 2017 for example, both Oregon and UCLA were ahead of Arizona in the RPI but Arizona was seeded #2, Oreg #3, and UCLA #5.  Arizona was regular season Pac-12 champ.  

d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #26 
Mizzou finishes off a home sweep of A&M. Mizzou greatly improves its tournament candidacy, while A&M's hopes take a massive step back.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #27 
Some big results this weekend out of the Big 10 with regards to the bubble:

Wisconsin sweeps Indiana at home in battle of two bubble teams. Wisconsin further pads their resume, while Indiana's tournament hopes take a big dent.

Illinois is about to get swept at home by Michigan, which will hurt their chances too.

Ohio State sweeps lowly Michigan State in East Lansing, but might still drop in RPI ratings, at least temporarily, on account of Michigan State's very low (sub 150) ranking.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #28 
In other action between bubble teams, San Jose State takes 2 out of 3 at home against UNLV. 

With teams in front of them losing, could SJSU jump into the field heading into next week?
leftyworld

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Posts: 43
Reply with quote  #29 
San Jose St is 1 game up on Fresno St going into next weekend’s play. Colorado St has all but locked up the conference title but a 2nd place team usually gets an invite.
d4cohn

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Posts: 195
Reply with quote  #30 
Quote:
Originally Posted by leftyworld
San Jose St is 1 game up on Fresno St going into next weekend’s play. Colorado St has all but locked up the conference title but a 2nd place team usually gets an invite.


Fresno isn't out of postseason contention either, with an RPI of 56 coming into this week. What a big non-conference game on Tuesday at Fresno between Fresno and Stanford for both teams.
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